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Irish Coffee: One Reason Ray Allen Will Be Better

Posted By Ben Rohrbach On October 20, 2010 @ 10:44 am In General | No Comments

Wake up with the Celtics and your daily dose of Irish Coffee …

ESPN analysts Mark Jackson and Jeff Van Gundy piled on the anti-technical foul bandwagon [1] in a conference call to promote the station’s NBA coverage this season. While most of what’s been said on the subject has been redundant over the last week — (a la Van Gundy: “More free throws is never the answer”) — Jackson made an interesting point that could benefit the Celtics:

“If I was a guy like Reggie Miller I’d love the rule because it would add three or four points a night to my scoring total from technical fouls.”

Hmmm … I’m trying to think of a guy like Reggie Miller on the Celtics. Shaquille O’Neal? No. Rajon Rondo? Nope. Oh, I know: Ray Allen. Four current NBA players, including Allen, rank higher on the list of career free-throw percentage leaders [2] than Miller (who is No. 9 at 88.8 percent): 2. Steve Nash (90.3 percent), 3. Peja Stojakovic (89.5), 4. Allen (89.4) and 6. Chauncey Billups (89.2).

Allen averaged 16.3 points per game for the Celtics last season, so an additional four points — which, for the NBA’s sake, better be an excessive estimate — would get him closer to his career average of 20.5 points a game.

The scariest name on that free-throw percentage list: Kevin Durant, whose 88.3 conversion rate ranks No. 11 all-time. Already an NBA MVP favorite, Durant’s 30.1 points per game led the league in scoring last year. An additional few points a game gets Durant that much closer to averaging 35 points. Only two players have done that since 1970: Michael Jordan (37.1 in 1986-87; 35.0 in 1987-88) and Kobe Bryant (35.4 in 2005-06).

NBA PRESEASON PREMONITION

The Sporting News produced the following NBA statistic [3]: “Over the last nine preseasons, 17 teams have finished undefeated or with one loss. Of those 17 teams, 16 wound up in the playoffs. None went on to win a championship and only half survived to the second round, but the fact is, if you play well in October, there’s a good chance you’ll at least be playing in late April.”

Only four NBA teams currently have unbeaten or one-loss preseason records: the Celtics (6-1), Orlando Magic (6-0), Utah Jazz (7-0) and Memphis Grizzlies (7-0). I’m not sure this is good news for the Celtics, who need a monumental breakdown to miss the playoffs. Should they defeat the New Jersey Nets tonight, they would have to buck a recent trend to win the NBA title.

Along the same lines, 82games.com analyzed a five-year window to determine: Does the NBA preseason matter [4]? Looking at records from 2001-02 to 2005-06, there was a corollary: successful preseason teams succeeded in the regular season; likewise, unsuccessful preseason teams failed in the regular season.

The most interesting statistic from the study: teams coming off less-than-30-win seasons that produced successful preseason teams gained an average of 19 wins the following season. The only team that fits that bill this season is the Minnesota Timberwolves, who finished 15-67 last season and are 5-2 this preseason.

Inductees Larry Bird, left, and Earvin "Magic" Johnson shake hands after being inducted into the National Collegiate Basketball Hall of Fame Sunday, Nov. 22, 2009, in Kansas City, Mo. Other inductees include Gene Bartow, Walter Byers, Travis Grant, Jud Heathcote, Wayman Tisdale and Bill Wall.

Could Magic Johnson and Larry Bird team up to buy the Pacers? Just a conspiracy theory. (AP)

MAGIC JOHNSON’S DISAPPEARING ACT?

What the heck is Magic Johnson up to? A day after selling his 4.5 ownership stake in the Los Angeles Lakers for an estimated $27 million, Magic reportedly sold his 105 Starbucks franchises for another $100 million, according to the Los Angeles Times [5].

Magic was rumored to have interest in the sales of the Detroit Pistons and Golden State Warriors, which have since been sold. Back in 2006, when the Seattle SuperSonics were sold for $350 million, five teams were supposedly available for the right price [6]: the Portland Trail Blazers, Milwaukee Bucks, Philadelphia 76ers, Magic and Grizzlies. None of those teams have been sold since.

Conspiracy Theory of the Day: Maybe Larry Bird and Magic Johnson are preparing to buy the Indiana Pacers. Bird did admit back in April that he’s fielded calls [7] from people interested in buying the team. I’m pretty sure Magic has his number.

 Just as long as Magic isn’t planning on investing in another edition of that godawful TV show, “The Magic Hour.”

PERFORMANCE-ENHANCING SHOES

The NBA banned its players from wearing [8] Athletic Propulsion Labs’ $300 Concept 1 shoes. Apparently, the shoes are spring-loaded to increase vertical leap. According to the Associated Press story, 30 percent of NBA players had shown interest in the shoe produced by former USC walk-ons Adam and Ryan Goldston. Any chance the aging legs of Kevin Garnett, Shaquille O’Neal and Jermaine O’Neal were among that 30 percent?

(Have a question, concern or conception for tomorrow’s Irish Coffee? Send a message to @brohrbach [9] on Twitter.)


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URLs in this post:

[1] piled on the anti-technical foul bandwagon: http://probasketballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/10/19/quote-of-the-day-mark-jackson-thinks-reggie-miller-likes-all-the-technicals/

[2] the list of career free-throw percentage leaders: http://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/ft_pct_career.html

[3] produced the following NBA statistic: http://www.sportingnews.com/nba/story/2010-10-19/evidence-suggests-great-preseasons-lead-to-playoff-berths-in-nba

[4] Does the NBA preseason matter: http://www.82games.com/preseason.htm

[5] according to the Los Angeles Times: http://lakersblog.latimes.com/lakersblog/2010/10/magic-johnson-sells-his-starbucks-franchises.html

[6] five teams were supposedly available for the right price: http://sportsbusinessradio.net/?q=node/271

[7] he’s fielded calls: http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=5094929

[8] banned its players from wearing: http://greenstreet.weei.comprohibited

[9] @brohrbach: http://twitter.com/brohrbach

[10] > Irish Coffee: One Reason Ray Allen Will Be Better" data-url="http://greenstreet.weei.com/sports/boston/basketball/celtics/2010/10/20/irish-coffee-one-reason-ray-allen-will-be-better/">Tweet: http://twitter.com/share

[11]  : #disqus_thread

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