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Stat Man: How much will Rajon Rondo help Celtics’ offense?

12.03.13 at 1:02 pm ET
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Since Rajon Rondo appears one step closer to his eventual return, now is as good a time as any to ask: Just how much will the three-time NBA All-Star point guard help the Celtics‘ woeful offense when he returns?

When we last saw Rondo, his 13.7 points and league-leading 11.1 assists per game created an average of 38.0 points for the Celtics, and that doesn’t include the new free throw and secondary assist statistics available this season on NBA.com/stats or the C’s increased pace under Brad Stevens.

This season, Jordan Crawford has received 1,301 touches, which ranks 15th among the league’s guards, and the Celtics rank 26th in points per 100 possessions (96.0). It’s safe to assume there’s a correlation there.

The other 14 guards: Chris Paul, John Wall, Ty Lawson, Jeff Teague, Monta Ellis, Kyrie Irving, Damian Lillard, Jrue Holiday, Tony Parker, Mike Conley, Ricky Rubio, Steve Blake, Kemba Walker and Jose Calderon.

The most jarring name has to be Blake, who’s doing a better job replacing Steve Nash on the Lakers than Crawford is substituting for Rondo. When you combine their scoring and passing, only Calderon creates fewer points per game than Crawford (23.8), and that’s because Calderon shares a backcourt with Ellis.

Chris Paul: 18.9 points per game + 26.8 points created by assists per game = 45.7 points per game
John Wall: 19.0 + 22.2 = 41.2
Ty Lawson: 20.6 + 19.6 = 40.2
Jeff Teague: 17.4 + 18.7 = 36.1
Monta Ellis: 21.9 + 13.3 = 35.2
Kyrie Irving: 20.6 + 13.6 = 34.2
Damian Lillard: 20.6 + 13.5 = 34.1
Jrue Holiday: 14.5 + 18.2 = 32.7
Tony Parker: 18.1 + 14.5 = 32.6
Mike Conley: 18.3 + 13.4 = 31.7
Ricky Rubio: 8.7 + 19.9 = 28.6
Steve Blake: 10.0 + 17.6 = 27.6
Kemba Walker: 16.6 + 9.6 = 26.2
Jordan Crawford: 12.4 + 11.4 = 23.8
Jose Calderon: 11.1 + 11.9 = 23.0

Obviously, Rondo’s 38.0 points created per game would be a lot closer to Paul’s production, which nearly doubles Crawford’s. Even if Rondo isn’t at full strength, he could potentially create 10 more points per game given the same number of touches — an improvement that would propel the Celtics into the league’s top five offenses.

Read More: Boston Celtics, Jordan Crawford, NBA, Rajon Rondo
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