|Jon Barry on Celtics winning Eastern Conference: ‘I think they will’||03.31.11 at 11:25 am ET|
Appearing on the Dennis & Callahan Show, ESPN NBA analyst Jon Barry said despite the Celtics’ recent struggles, he still believes they will win the Eastern Conference when it’s all said and done. (To listen to the entire interview, click here.)
“I don’t put a lot of stock what happens at the end of the regular season,” Barry said. “Last year the Lakers lost 7 of 10 and went on to win the thing. Boston was 27-27 their last 54 and got to the Finals in the seventh game. So I wouldn’t read too much into this. But I’m a bit concerned because I really thought they were the best team with Kendrick Perkins on their roster. Now I think they let the pack in a little bit closer to them. I still think they can win the East and I think they will, but I think they’ve brought the other teams back to where they have a better opportunity to beat them.
“I like their experience,” Barry added. “I think Chicago has had a tremendous year but this is a team that hasn’t gone past the first round. The Miami Heat I think still aren’t ready to do it, come playoff time they’re not built for playoff basketball. I do believe the Celtics will come back and circle the wagons and be ready to go and be the team to beat in the East.”
Barry explained that he was taken aback at how much trading Perkins away has affected the Celtics.
“I’m a bit surprised,” the analyst said. “This was the No. 1 team in the Eastern Conference with Kendrick Perkins playing 12 games. The impact that he’s made on the floor obviously hasn’t been that big and they’ve played through it. I’m a bit surprised that they’re losing games. They haven’t been able to score. Their execution late in games has been poor. It’s kind of been there bugaboo the last few years.”
Some of the other topics touched on by Barry …
The Celtics recent struggles: “Obviously, since the Kendrick trade this team has not played well. [Rajon] Rondo in particular has not played well. We know how close he was with Kendrick Perkins. I know he has a pinky issue. There’s been no bones about it that these guys are unhappy that Kendrick’s left. Doc Rivers has felt the same way and they got to find a way to crank it back up here as we get started her in couple weeks for the real season.”
|Fast Break: Fourth quarter dooms Celtics in loss to Pacers||03.28.11 at 9:41 pm ET|
Just as the Celtics began to solve one problem, they ran into another in the fourth quarter against the Pacers. The Celtics played one of their best offensive games in weeks, but ran out of steam at the end of a back-to-back in a 107-100 loss. They made sloppy passes and missed free throws — two sure signs of fatigue — and were outscored 26-15 in the fourth quarter. In other words, they were playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road.
Here’s how it happened:
WHAT WENT WRONG
Foul trouble for the bigs: Kevin Garnett picked up his second foul with five minutes to go in the first quarter and the Celtics leading 22-12. By the time he returned the Pacers had a 37-35 lead. Garnett didn’t stick around long, getting his third foul two minutes later on an over-the back call. Nenad Krstic also spent the first half in foul trouble, which allowed the next thing to happen …
Roy Hibbert went off: Glen Davis does a lot of things for the Celtics and one of the most important is his willingness to guard taller players. Davis typically use his bulk to keep bigger post players out of the paint and his nimble feet to get to a spot on the floor and draw charges. Both skills were useless against Hibbert who simply shot over him and made 9-of-10 in the first half. Davis played well for the most part, but having to guard Hibbert wouldn’t have been in his job description if Garnett and Krstic hadn’t spent the night in foul trouble.
Jeff Green needed to assert himself: Over the last few weeks, Jeff Green has become the kind of offensive energizer the Celtics were looking for when they acquired him from Oklahoma City. Aside from getting to the line at the start of the fourth quarter, Green offered little in the way of an offensive spark in his 28 minutes of action.
WHAT WENT RIGHT
Rondo was Rondo: Rajon Rondo wasn’t supposed to play Monday night. An hour before the game tipped off, Doc Rivers told reporters in Indiana that his point guard would sit out a second straight game to rest his injured pinky finger. That changed about 45 minutes later when Rondo took the floor for warmups. In the first quarter he made all five of his shots (all on layups) and made two free throws. This is the Rondo they have been waiting for.
Third quarter rally: This would have been very easy for the Celtics to pack it in at halftime. They were down eight, it was the second game of a back-to-back and they weren’t getting the calls from the officials. Instead, they put together an impressive third quarter run that put 36 points on the board and gave them back the lead.
Paul Pierce picks up his game: Lost in all the angst over Rondo is that Paul Pierce has been the other missing ingredient in the Celtics’ offense. He’s shooting just 26 percent from 3-point range since February and while his percentages have dropped, his turnovers have risen. But Pierce shot the ball better — making 8-of-13 and going 3-for-4 from behind the arc.
|Fast Break: Celtics narrowly beat Wolves||03.27.11 at 9:33 pm ET|
For nine minutes the Celtics looked unbeatable. For the next 30 they looked like the Nets. They were able to pull off an 85-82 win because Paul Pierce found his offensive game just in time, Kevin Garnett did work on the post and the Wolves played like the Wolves, committing silly turnovers and throwing away chances to win the game.
The Celtics will take it, but this was not progress. This was against a team that had won 17 games and was playing without its best player in Kevin Love. Perhaps that first quarter gives them something to build on, or maybe the way they closed out the game defensively will give them a spark.
One way or another, however, the Celtics needed a win and here’s how they did it:
WHAT WENT RIGHT
Fast start: The first quarter was a thing of beauty. The ball movement was crisp, the shots were well taken and there was an energy and bounce to the Celtics’ game. They shot 59 percent and had nine assists on 13 made field goal with zero turnovers. It doesn’t matter who you’re playing against, that kind of efficiency is hard to do against anyone. It was 15-5 after four minutes, 22-5 after six and 28-8 after nine. The Celtics then proceeded to do everything the opposite way after the opening quarter.
Kevin Garnett continues to bring it: If there’s one player who should escape scrutiny these days it’s Garnett, whose production has held steady this month. Garnett dominated the defensive glass when he was in the game and also served as a second point guard by making the extra pass and racking up assists. Garnett finished with 13 points, 13 rebounds and five assists and was once again the Celtics’ best all-around player.
Delonte West filled in nicely for Rajon Rondo: Early in the game when the Timberwolves went under screens, West buried two jump shots. The T-Wolves adjusted and when they went over the screen, West hit Garnett on the roll who found Nenad Krstic open underneath for a layup. He finished with eight points, five assists and one huge offensive rebound that prolonged a possession and put the Celtics up five.
WHAT WENT WRONG
Nenad Krstic is still fighting himself: The Celtics made a concerted effort to get their center the ball in a position to score and the results were mixed. There were times when he caught it and went up strong for dunks, and there were others when he pump-faked himself into oblivion. Krstic didn’t play in the fourth quarter and except for a few brief flashes, he continues to look lost.
Glen Davis was outplayed by Anthony Tolliver: With Krstic struggling, the Celtics needed something positive from their other big man, but Davis missed 11-of-15 shots and was outworked by Tolliver, who had 12 points and 13 rebounds. To Davis’ credit, he played almost the entire second half after Rivers benched Krstic.
Paul Pierce, also struggling: Pierce’s offense has come and gone lately. Fortunately for the Celtics he was able to turn it back on in the final three minutes and help the Celtics pull off the win. Pierce’s stat line of 23 points and 7 rebounds looks solid, but he shot 2-for-8 from 3-point range and continues to struggle with his shot. Like Davis, Pierce redeemed himself with solid play down the stretch.
|Race for top seed in Eastern Conference takes shape||03.22.11 at 2:34 pm ET|
A few weeks ago, the Celtics were in the driver’s seat for the best record in the Eastern Conference. After beating the Suns on March 2, their record stood at 44-15, three games ahead of the Bulls. Things changed quickly, as the Celtics went 3-4 over the next two weeks, while the Bulls reeled off eight straight wins to take a momentary lead.
The Celtics got themselves back on track with comeback wins against New Orleans and New York, and now with 13 games left in the regular season, the Celtics and Bulls are tied again at 50-9 heading into Chicago’s game with the Hawks on Tuesday night.
In examining the remaining schedule, the Celtics have a slightly tougher slate of games — but they own two tiebreakers. First, they have gone 2-1 against Chicago with the final matchup scheduled for April 7 at the United Center. If the Celtics win that game, they’ll own the head-to-head tiebreaker. Even if they lose, they currently have a better conference record (33-6) than Chicago (30-9), which is the next tiebreaker.
The Celtics are on record as saying that health is their primary focus, not getting homecourt. Yet with 13 games left it remains a possibility and there is incentive. At stake is homecourt advantage as well as the benefit of playing a sub-500 team in the first round and avoiding a semifinal matchup with Miami.
Here’s how the schedule break down:
Home: 6 (Memphis, Philadelphia, Toronto, Phoenix, Boston, New Jersey)
Road: 7 (Atlanta, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Detroit, Cleveland, Orlando, New York)
Back-to-backs: 4 (Two second games at home against Toronto and New Jersey and two on the road against Milwaukee and Cleveland).
Playoff opponents: 6
Home: Memphis, Philadelphia, Boston
Road: Atlanta, Orlando, New York
Toughest stretch: After they play the Celtics on April 7, the Bulls have three games on the road against Cleveland, Orlando and New York before finishing the regular season at home against New Jersey. There are two back-to-backs against the Cavs and Nets.
Home: 6 (Memphis, Charlotte, Detroit, Philadelphia, Washington, New York)
Road: 7 (Minnesota, Indiana, San Antonio, Atlanta, Chicago, Washington, Miami)
Back-to-backs: 4 (One second game at home against Washington and three on the road against Indiana, Atlanta and Washington).
Playoff opponents: 7
Home: Memphis, Philadelphia, New York
Road: San Antonio, Atlanta, Chicago, Miami
Toughest stretch: There are actually two. The first is a four-game road trip that has two sets of back-t0-backs with Minnesota and Indiana followed by San Antonio and Atlanta. The second starts with the Bulls game and is followed by a back-to-back at home against Washington on Friday and then a trip to Miami for a Sunday afternoon game with yet another back-to-back against the Wizards, this time in Washington.
How many wins over the final 13 games will it take to clinch the East? Various projection models have it at 59, which would mean going 9-4 down the stretch. Justin Kubatko’s forecast at Basketball-Reference has the Bulls with a 57.4 percent probability of getting the top seed and he has the Celtics at 35.4 percent going into Tuesday night’s games. The Heat have a slim 7 percent chance. Based on the schedule, and also the Celtics stated intentions to not go all out for the top seed, the Bulls have to be considered the favorites but that can change in a week.
|Fast Break: Celtics outlast Knicks||03.21.11 at 10:08 pm ET|
For the second straight game the Celtics started poorly on the road and found their legs after halftime, and the result was another comeback win, as the Celtics rallied late to beat the Knicks, 96-86. The Celtics have been living dangerously, but perhaps they are proving something to themselves right now, as well. They can’t expect to play passively and win. Now they have to do it 48 minutes again.
WHAT WENT RIGHT
Rondo rallies: The point guard has been showing signs of coming out of his funk, but on Monday, he has still not looked like the Rajon Rondo of old. In the first half he pulled off a trio of Rondo-esque moves that stood out as the only first-half highlight. He carried that momentum into the second half and finally recorded double-digits in assists (12), his first in eight games, and finished with 13 points on 15 shots. It was by far his most aggressive outing in weeks.
Kevin Garnett leads second-half surge: It didn’t take long for an indication that the Celtics were not going to roll over in the second half. Garnett made sure of that, scoring their first eight points of the third quarter and throwing down a vicious transition dunk on Ronny Turiaf. He made many big plays in this game, but perhaps his biggest came when he chased down a loose ball and dove into Amar’e Stoudemire to force a jump ball.
Great theater at the MSG: The Celtics have played two games in New York this season and both have been classics. While this one lacked the drama — and quality play — of the December matchup, it every bit as intense. Allen left the game after catching an elbow that drew blood. Later, Carmelo Anthony got busted up after colliding with Rondo in mid-air. The Celtics showed better poise and more toughness down the stretch, but if these two teams meet in the playoffs expect the drama to be thick.
WHAT WENT WRONG
Second-unit struggles: One game after using a tight eight-man rotation in a win over the Hornets, Rivers went back to a platoon-style lineup using five reserves to start the second quarter. Four minutes in, the five had not scored a point and the Knicks were on their way to building a double-digit lead. The reserves went 2-for-10 in the first half, and while the 51-37 halftime deficit wasn’t all on them, they started the downhill slide.
Glen Davis had one of those nights: This was the bad version of Big Baby for the first three quarters. The one that misses jump shots and then allows himself to get outworked and outhustled by the likes of Turiaf — another undersized post player who relies on toughness and energy. Davis’ night was summed up by the flop he took on a phantom elbow by Anthony. While Davis lay on the ground, the Knicks raced downcourt.
On nights when his shot doesn’t fall, he still has to bring defense and energy to the game and both were in short supply until the fourth quarter when he brought both. Not surprisingly, the Celtics played much better defense. Davis is not a luxury player anymore. He has to anchor their defense every night.
Ray Allen’s tough night: Allen had a rough night shooting (4-for-15) and he took an even rougher elbow to the head that drew blood and sent him back to the locker room. But Allen returned — without stitches — and capped the night off with a clinching layup.
|Fast Break: Back-to-back woes continue||03.14.11 at 9:17 pm ET|
The Celtics problems with back-to-backs have been well-documented this season, especially on the road where they were 2-7 on the second night heading into Monday’s game at New Jersey. True to form the Celtics played great in spurts, but looked tired and slow in others and lost, 88-79.
Like many of their losses in similar situations, this was a winnable game, but the Celtics didn’t make the plays. They have now lost the second game of back-to-backs five straight times on the road and with four more back-to-backs left this season and three of them on the road, they will be tested again.
WHAT WENT WRONG
Rajon Rondo continues to struggle: The last time Rondo played a truly great floor game was March 4 when he scored 16 points and had 15 assists in a win over the Suns. Since then he’s had a couple of so-so games mixed in with some complete bombs. Rondo went 0-for-6 in the first half with four turnovers, but things got worse for him and the Celtics when he left the game with a sprained ankle early in the third quarter. Rondo returned but committed a terrible foul on a 3-pointer late in the game and finished 1-for-10 from the floor.
Foul trouble: Less than two minutes after Rondo limped off, Paul Pierce walked off with his fourth foul. He was followed closely by Nenad Krstic, which upset the Celtics’ early second half momentum. The Celtics found themselves down by seven at the end of the third quarter and had to play from behind for the rest of the fourth.
Energy level low: The excuses are tired and so were the Celtics, but if they had played moderately better against New Jersey, Washington and Charlotte — to name three — in the back-to-backs, they would have a comfortable margin to play with down the stretch. It could ultimately cost them the top seed in the East.
WHAT WENT RIGHT
Glen Davis is a difference-maker: There are times when Davis’ impact in the game can be readily seen in the box score, like Monday when he had 16 points and a season-high 14 rebounds. But when Davis is at his best, his game has more to do with charges, loose balls, long rebounds and all the kinds of things that save possessions. His absence was felt dramatically over the last week and a half.
Carlos Arroyo continues to impress: Delonte West is on course to return Wednesday when the Celtics host the Pacers, but West may have some competition for backup point guard duty. Arroyo had another strong game with four points, four rebounds, three assists and just one turnover in 16 minutes. Whatever happens with the position, Arroyo has proven to be more valuable than just an emergency fill-in.
Kevin Garnett is back in a groove: Garnett recently had a six-quarter shooting slump, which was magnified by the fact that the Celtics lost both games during his skid. But Garnett never stays cold for long and after going 9-for-14 against the Nets, that’s at least one small thing that was a positive Monday.
|Talking Hoops, Episode V with Kelly Dwyer||at 4:44 pm ET|
In the latest edition of Talking Hoops with Paul Flannery we talked with Kelly Dwyer, editor of Yahoo! Sports Ball Don’t Lie. Few people know the Bulls as well as Dwyer, so we went in-depth on Chicago’s rise from talented als0-ran to legitimate championship contender. Then we talked about the Celtics and what we can expect from their new additions and later, we ran through the sleepers in the Eastern Conference.
We also reminisced about the Fab 5, Rodrick Rhodes and Dwyer tries to convince me to listen to ELO.
LISTEN HERE: Talking Hoops, Episode V
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